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Saga of slow credit offtake continues
George Mathew & V M Sathish
NEW DELHI, July 5: Reserve Bank of India Governor C Rangarajan is a worried
man these days. The central bank had taken several steps to boost lending by
commercial banks. However, credit offtake has not improved despite the best
efforts of the RBI. The situation forced the RBI Governor to call a meeting
of the chiefs of major banks and ask them to extend more credit to the
industry last week.
The RBI chief has reasons to ask bankers to extend more credit to the
industry. The sluggish credit disbursals and the weak capital market
scenario have already dealt a severe blow to the fund raising plans of the
corporate sector. Not only this, the export growth rate has come down and
industrial production has slumped to 6.7 per cent in 1996-97 from 11.9 per
cent last year.
Simultaneously, the woes of the corporate sector have intensified as the
primary market has virtually collapsed and investors have fled the scene.
Against this background, commercial banks have become choosy in extending
credit. The RBI admits that non-food credit of commercial banks has declined
by Rs 1,672 crore in the current year so far against a fall of Rs 6,253
crore last year. This is on top of a fall in credit growth of only eight per
cent during 1996-97 from 20.1 per cent during 1995-96. With both equity
mobilisation and borrowings becoming difficult, project implementation was
affected.
Says Shekhar Bajaj, chairman and managing director, Bajaj Electricals, ``it
is not that companies don't want credit or are waiting for further decline
in interest rates. Banks which burnt their fingers in sticky loans are now
choosy about giving loans to companies.'' The prime lending rate (PLR) of
banks has come down by around two percentage points to 13.5 per cent in the
last one year. But it has not translated into higher credit offtake. The RBI
had announced several measures in the last three credit policies. The latest
in the series of measures taken by the RBI is to reduce the Bank Rate
further from 11 per cent to 10 per cent.
Although this has led to a PLR reduction, it is to be seen whether credit
offtake will show improvement. ``Banks want to lend to companies which do
not want money and they don't want to finance companies which need funds.
After the various scams, banks are going after triple A (AAA) rated
companies. In the companies rated A to B category, decision is not
forthcoming. The reduction in bank rate by one per cent is a welcome
decision which will only affect the cost of funds. I still feel that the
process of sanctioning loans have to change,'' says Harsh Goenka of the RPG
group.
The dilemma on the part of banks and commercial banks is understandable. On
the one hand, the system is flush with funds and banks will have to deploy
it prudently. If banks are not careful in extending loans, it will add to
the non-performing assets (NPAs) which have not yet come down from the Rs
40,000-crore level. This is at a time when sticky loans have eroded the
bottomlines of banks like Indian Bank and UCO Bank.
Big companies like Reliance Industries, Grasim, IPCL, Telco, Tata Steel and
so on were able to mobilise funds through avenues like external commercial
borrowings and private placement of debentures and bonds. This has left
hundreds of small and medium size companies in the lurch. ``Small companies
are not in a position to go abroad for ECBs or make private placement
effectively. The fact is that big companies are still growing despite the
poor capital market situation and tough credit offtake policy. Small
companies have nowhere to turn to,'' admitted a bank chief.
``Good companies are in a position to raise funds directly from the market
without any intermediaries though commercial papers (CPs), foreign currency
loans and non-convertible debentures. But no new projects are coming up as
the equity market is down when the financial institutions are flush with
fund. A few years ago when the market was bullish, the FIs had little fund
to finance projects. Without a proper combination of debt and equity,
promoters do not want to start new ventures,'' said N G Ramakrishna,
president, Centurian Bank.
Pranam Wahi, senior manager, Corporate Banking, Standard Chartered Bank,
also agreed with this about the slow credit offtake. ``It is more related to
the comfort of companies in going ahead with investment in new projects for
which there should ba sustained demand for products and stabilised interest
rate to ensure cheap source of fund. A drop in interest has somewhat
stabilised the cost of fund and the situation will be corrected within six
months.''
About the general decline in demand, he added that ``you name an industry
and the problem is there. It is there in motor car sales, consumer durables,
and textiles. Exports have also come down. The avenues for raising cheap
funds have increased. As the rupee has been stable good corporates go for
external commercial borrowings. They will have to depend on high interest
debt. They don't want to leverage too much and hence they are realigning
their balance sheet,'' Wahi said.
In fact, it was the RBI which allowed the issue of CPs and other debt
instruments by the corporates. As the CP has become very popular among
corporates, banks have no option but to subscribe to it. While the CP is
supposed to be subscribed by individual investors, banks are the major
investors in CP.
It was again the RBI which allowed finance companies to flourish at the
cost of manufacturing companies. They diverted funds mobilised from the
market/fixed deposits to the stock markets and real estate. As a result,
even genuine companies are finding it difficult to raise funds.
Another reason for the slow credit offtake is the growing investment in low
yielding Government securities instead of risky corporate lending. The
better performance of public sector banks this year has been mainly due to
the changes in the yield-to-maturity (YTM) on Government securities. When
the rate of interest is coming down, the investment in these securities is
also attractive. The public sector banks have been diverting their funds to
the priority sector lending where the risk is relative lesser than the
corporate lending. ``The growing number of frauds and investigations in the
banking industry has shaken the confidence of bankers. Two years ago,
lending to CRB Capital market was treated as a very good business decision.
Now the situation is entirely different,'' opined Rajendra Kulkarni, chief
manager (Credit), Bank of Maharashtra.
R S Hugar, chairman and managing director, Corporation Bank, said the
slowdown in credit offtake had been due to liquidation of seasonal credit by
way of ad hoc limit granted to various industries -- best example being the
diamond industry.
``Alternative source of cheaper fund, especially ECB, non-convertible
debentures (NCDs) is made available to corporates replacing the high cost
term loan and working capital loans from banks. There is an active CP market
consequent to relaxation in terms of recent RBI policy guidelines,'' Hugar
said.
However, the Corporation Bank chief is confident that credit flow will pick
up in the second half. ``Historically credit offtake has been slow in the
first half one reason why the first half is called the slack season. The
situation will definitely improve in the second half,'' he said. Most of the
good rated corporates which relied on NCDs, CPs and ECBs will come back to
the banking sector in the second half. Improvement in the stock exchange
will also encourage investment in new projects. If the petroleum prices are
increased, there will be a cascading impact on the economy and the demand
for credit will go up.
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