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Thursday, October 1, 1998

IMF sees dark days ahead

EXPRESS NEWS SERVICE  
WASHINGTON, Sept 30: Making a bleak and pessimistic forecast of the world economy the International Monetary Fund (IMF) today predicted a lower two per cent economic growth and warned that risk of prolonged downtrend had escalated with little chances of any significant improvement in 1999.

International economic and financial conditions have deteriorated considerably in recent months as recession has deepened in many Asian emerging market economies, IMF said.

At the same time, it warned against any reversal of reforms in emerging economies in Asia as it would put the clock back on their growth and ability to attract foreign investments.

In its semi-annual World Economic Outlook (WEO) released here IMF said though effects of Asian crisis have been limited in America and Europe till now, the spill overs are presently being felt in the industry sector of these nations.

The Asian currency crisis which affected the economies of Japan and Russia have raised the specter of default and a world growth of onlytwo per cent is projected during the current year, compared to three per cent anticipated earlier, the IMF said in its report.

Stating that Russia's unilateral debt restructuring and ensuing intensification of contagion, the WEO said that the crisis have extended to most of the emerging market economies and stock markets globally.

Copyright © 1998 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.


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