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ENS ECONOMIC BUREAU
NEW DELHI, DEC 8: Finance minister Yashwant Sinha has admitted there were pressures on fiscal and current account fronts but stressed that even if the fiscal deficit was to go up marginally "it will not be an absolute disaster".
The finance minister's statement is significant as this is the first time that that he has officially admitted a possible slippage in fiscal deficit. Just a week back, the finance minister had said at the World Economic forum meeting that the fiscal deficit would be maintained at 5.6 per cent.
Replying to a short duration discussion on current economic situation and its implications on Indian economy in the Rajya Sabha on Tuesday, finance minister also said that "what is humanly possible is being done to keep the fiscal deficit within the target of 5.6 per cent of the GDP."
Sinha further stressed that determining the fiscal deficit rate at 5.6 per cent was not unrealistic. Stating that he had not overestimated the revenues, the minister said the gross tax-GDP ratio for 1998-99was 9.8% as against the 10.1 per cent in the previous financial year. The fiscal deficit always hovered around six per cent in the decades of 80s and 90s, he added.
The broad money supply (M3), he said, did touch 20 per cent figure with the receipts from the Resurgent India Bond fund. The figure had come down to 18.4 per cent and the indications were that the it might dip further, he hoped. The finance minister also made it clear that there was no going back on the liberalisation process and added that his government was determined to pursue the "second generation economic reforms".
He said many members were of the view that widening gap of the fiscal deficit was the `villain' behind the price rise but it was not the case. If it was, it would have reflected on prices across the board on all commodities and not just in the primary article segment of the economy, which experienced a big leap of 17.6 per cent since July. The consumer price index accorded a large weightage on this aspect. The prices ofmanufactured produce registered just one per cent increase over the last year, so also the prices of fuel, power and lubricants.
The finance minister also said the allegations of some of the members that the BJP government was in league with the hoarders, black marketeers and profiteers were unjustified. "You can accuse us of incompetence but we can not be accused of colluding with them", he said, reminding that nobody in his senses would like to lose the elections for such reasons. Urging the house to look at the "cold facts", Sinha said what should be a matter of concern was that the agricultural production was decelerating for the past two decades, and so also the investments in the sector.
Copyright © 1998 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.
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