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Saturday, November 13, 1999

The ghost of Zia

 
By charging Nawaz Sharif with treason, Pervez Musharraf, Pakistan's self-styled chief executive, is certainly sticking to the script. First he wrested civilian control of his country, a takeover expected by every discerning observer but denied to the last only by the man himself. Then, buoyed by popular euphoria over Sharif's dismissal, he lost no time in predicating his promises of accountability and economic prosperity on his remaining at the helm for years to come. And now he is all set to do a Zia on Sharif, to execute the coup de grace. Only the incurably optimistic could have visualised anything less dictatorial that October 12 when Musharraf presided over a military uprising from the skies, from the PIA plane which Sharif now has to prove he did not attempt to hijack. And for anyone, within or without Pakistan, scrutinising developments for signs that after the bloodless coup Musharraf would miraculously deliver the most benign benefits of martial discipline, his regime's obsession with nailing Sharifcannot be good news.

Admittedly, Musharraf would prefer that the proceedings against Sharif, which he requires to give legitimacy to the military takeover, be completed swiftly while public goodwill lasts. No doubt, the military's declared intention to book defaulters and recover default-ed loans totalling four billion dollars – or one-third of the national budget – has the wholehearted support of the Pakistani people. But this could fast dissipate if recovery is not efficient or, worse, if well-connected members of the elite were seen to be shielded. Besides, for all the anti-West sentiment sweeping across Pakistan, the country is precariously dependent on international monetary assistance to service its $32 billion debt and to fatten its extremely meagre foreign exchange reserves. How will the rest of the world, to whom most of Musharraf's hesitantly read out statements on state television appear to be addressed, react? Barring suspension from the Commonwealth, which would be almost automatic given the1991 Harare Declaration, governments across the world have toned down condemnation of the sacking of a democratically elected government, for fear of sending an isolated military regime teetering over to the forces of fundamentalism.

But with a series of explosions targeting American and United Nations installations in Islamabad on Friday, coming on the heels of demonstrations elsewhere in Pakistan against imposition of sanctions on the Taliban regime next door in Afghanistan, Musharraf's ability to extend this blackmail could be severely curtailed. The general's sympathisers have been peddling a bizarre theory, that the suspension of democracy is in fact merely a prelude to the blossoming of a truly representative system of governance. If Musharraf is at all intent on securing goodwill at home and abroad, if he is at all interested in proving that he is indeed committed to democracy and that is not flirting with fundamentalist forces, he must prove it by providing Nawaz Sharif with a fair and transparenttrial, and thus evincing regard for the rule of law. Sadly, his track record does not provide much hope.

Copyright © 1999 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.


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