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Inflation dips to 8.90%, RBI may cut rates

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  • Inflation
    Inflation rose 8.90 per cent on Nov. 8, marginally below the previous week's 8.98 per cent.

    Fall in prices of crude oil, metals and other manufactured items helped cool inflation for the second straight week to 8.90 per cent, the lowest in five months, giving RBI the legroom needed to cut policy rates to fuel economic growth.

    Inflation declined by 0.8 percentage points during the week ended November 8 from 8.98 per cent a week ago, prompting analysts to predict that the rate of price rise would come down to around 5.5 per cent this fiscal end, much lower than what was anticipated by the Reserve Bank.

    Even as falling international crude prices and abolition of basic customs duty on Aviation Turbine Fuel by the Government softened fuel prices and metal rates came down simultaneously, primary food articles such as vegetables and fruits turned expensive.

    The index for fuel, power, light and lubricants declined by 0.9 percentage points, as prices of ATF, light diesel oil, furnace oil and naphtha came down quite a bit.

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    It was the hike in administered prices of petrol, diesel and LPG in June that had pushed inflation to double figures.

    It remained in double digits till almost the end of October, returning to single figure only after crude prices fell - giving the government a breather just ahead of assembly polls in a number of states, including Delhi.

    "Going ahead, the base effect will be favourable to bring inflation down. We expect it to reach 5.5 per cent by March.

    This will help RBI to ease monetary policy," Crisil Principal Economist D K Joshi said.

    ... contd.

    Next12
    is it deflation?By: dijo joseph | 21-Nov-2008 Reply | Forward well, i am not an economist...but all the time we are tackling inflation...but isnt it a possibility that we are staring at deflationinflation was primarily due to rise in crude oil prices...upto $ 160...now its down to $ 60...so the prices are falling...commodity prices too...and by quite big amounts...wasnt trying to refute anything...pls share your feelings...thanks a lot...jo
    Infation Down (Artificial(By: Ramanandtirth | 20-Nov-2008 Reply | Forward How is the common man affected if Air fare is reduced, industrial furnace price is reduced etc? The most important: Petrol, Deisal remains the same what was when crude was $148 (present $49), this is the real cause of inflation and the Govt. is conveniently overlooking it and doing superficial acts like asking industry, auto etc to reduce prices which was rightly rejected. How does the Govt. justify retail fuel prices?
    Ignorant PeopleBy: Ris | 21-Nov-2008 Reply | Forward Common man never payed the higher price of petrol and diesel. Indian prices were only for crude cost of $67 per barrel. If we keep high subsidy then we will certainly screw our future for sure.
    Cut the fuel priceBy: Manu | 20-Nov-2008 Reply | Forward if the govt now reduces the fuel prices now the inflation can be brought down further to 6%. The RBI is looking towards cutting the key rates again and pumping some more fund to the market for more liquidity. it would be better if the govt act now to help the market before it reaches the US condition where the major auto giants are begging to the govt to help them from falling bankrupt!!
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