Thomas L. Friedman

The agony of Syria


Thomas L. Friedman

Al-Qaeda on brink of collapse: report

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Al-Qaeda

More than two months after the killing of its leader Osama bin Laden, America's counterterrorism officials believe that al-Qaeda is on the brink of collapse.

"US counterterrorism officials are increasingly convinced that the killing of Osama bin Laden and the toll of seven years of CIA drone strikes have pushed al-Qaeda to the brink of collapse," US officials said.

"The assessment reflects a widespread view at the CIA and other agencies that a relatively small number of additional blows could effectively extinguish the Pakistan-based organisation that carried out the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks -- an outcome that was seen as a distant prospect for much of the past decade," it said.

According to the sources, US officials said al-Qaeda might yet rally and that even its demise would not end the terrorist threat, which is increasingly driven by radicalised individuals as well as aggressive affiliates. Indeed, officials said that al-Qaeda's offshoot in Yemen is now seen as a greater counter terrorism challenge than the organisation's traditional base, it said.

Nevertheless, the top US national security officials now allude to a potential finish line in the fight against al-Qaeda, a notion they played down before bin Laden was killed by US forces in a May 2 raid in Pakistan.

Incoming Defence Secretary Leon E Panetta declared during a recent visit to Afghanistan that we are within the reach of strategically defeating al-Qaeda and senior CIA official have expressed similar views in classified intelligence reports and close-door briefings on Capitol Hill, official said.

"US officials said bin Laden's death was a turning point, in part because he remained active in managing the network and keeping it focused on mounting attacks against the United States, but also because his charisma was key to al-Qaeda's brand and the proliferation of franchises overseas," it said.

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