•Bigger fall in support for the state Government

•However, in the face of a divided Opposition, the Congress continues to lead in terms of vote share. Indeed, in the past few months, the Congress has gained slightly at the expense of the newly formed Muslim outfit AUDF, thanks to its rise among the Muslims

•As for the AGP, the Brindaban Goswami-led faction is doing better than the others

BIHAR

It’s advantage NDA, but tough contest possible

•Satisfaction with both the UPA Government at the Centre and the NDA Government in the state has been consistently very high through the last 20 months

•However in terms of vote share the picture has changed. The JD(U) has made steady and substantial gains in this period at the expense of its ally, the BJP

•The RJD is also crawling its way back, gaining some of its Muslim vote

•Overall, while the NDA may continue to maintain its lead over the UPA even in a Lok Sabha poll, the difference between the two alliances is likely to be lesser. If Paswan’s LJP joins hands with the RJD and the Congress, then it may be a tough fight between the UPA and the NDA

CHHATTISGARH

BJP halts its decline

•The state Government has been steadily losing support but, over the last few months, it has halted the decline

... contd.