




Says Neil A. Wells, geology professor at Kent State University and co-author (with University of Michigan’s John Dorr) of a 1987 seminal paper on the Kosi’s behaviour, “Barring exceptional rains and floods, a fix at the breach site should be perfectly fine for a few years if they do it right, but it won’t last forever.”
Experts fear that Kosi’s new channel, which, as satellite images show, carries more water than the original channel, could well be the river’s new course. “Left to its own devices, the Kosi probably wouldn’t re-occupy the Sapt Kosi course,” says Wells.
So should the river be allowed to flow in the new channel or be brought into the original Sapt channel? “The new channel may take decades to stabilise, till which time the people living in the region will be in danger and may have to relocate constantly,” says Professor Nayan Sharma of the Department of Water Resources Development and Management at IIT Roorkee, who has worked on transboundary rivers like Brahmaputra, Mekong and Danube. Sharma is also a member of the high-level committee set up by the Government to suggest a long-term sustainable solution to the Kosi problem. He feels that given the high population density in the region, we cannot allow the infant channel free play. “We must make a serious attempt to bring the river back to the original channel,” says the professor.
When New Orleans was flooded after Hurricane Katrina hit the Mississippi River, breaching its embankments in August 2005, the administration repaired the breach to control the river. The Kosi, however, is a braided river—it forms multiple channels on its path—unlike the Mississippi, which is a controlled, single-channel river.


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