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Importing a ‘Made-in-America’ crisis

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  • Does this figure—10,329,969,366,304—make any sense to you? In school physics, we learnt that such large numbers are usually associated with the distance between one planet and another. But put a dollar sign before the above figure, and it constitutes a major part of the answer as to why the global financial system is currently in turmoil, why stock markets in India and around the world have crashed, why many businesses have either been wiped out or are in doldrums, why the dreaded word ‘R’ word (retrenchment) has entered into many sectors of the economy in India and elsewhere, and why another dreaded word ‘R’ word (recession) is spreading gloom ahead of Diwali, the festival of lights.

    The number $10.3 trillion denotes the outstanding Public Debt of the United States of America as of 17 October 2008. Just three years ago, at the end of 2005, it was $7.9 trillion, which itself was about nine times its 1980 level. Indeed, the number was lengthening so rapidly that the National Debt Clock at New York’s Times Square recently ran out of spaces. A new and longer clock is now under construction. America’s gross debt has become so huge that it amounts to 70 per cent of the country’s GDP this year.

    What this means is that America has simply borrowed its way to prosperity. Paradoxically, nearly four-fifths of the borrowings that have sustained its prosperity are from foreign institutions and governments, including the Government of India, who have been investing in dollar-denominated debt instruments issued by the US Treasury. (This also means, shockingly, that the US has been fighting wars in foreign lands using other people’s money.) Borrowing has become a way of life, both for the government and the people. In an economy where interest rates were kept artificially low for a prolonged period of time, citizens were first addicted to consumerism and then to the culture of ‘living a good life’ by borrowing, as can be seen from the fact that Americans spent $800 billion a year more than they earned. An average American family owns 13 credit cards, and 40 per cent of them have a balance. Household debt grew from $7 trillion in 2001 to $14 trillion in 2008. An entire new industry of financial jugglery came into being to translate greed into profits. And this non-productive industry of ‘financial products’, and not the real industry of making physical products, became America’s primary business. Manufacturing today accounts for only 12 per cent of USA’s GDP.

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    Importing a made in America CrisisBy: KJPATEL | 19-Oct-2008 Reply | Forward If anyone is interested in figuring out how much is a trillion here is Mir Ali Hussain writing in OutLook explains: As figures keep getting tossed around, one begins to suffer from number fatigue. How does one make sense of these large values? Here’s one way to imagine a trillion dollars. Let’s say you have a magic machine that spits out a $100 bill every second, all day and all night long. In the first minute, you’d have $6,000. In the first hour, $360,000. In the first 24-hour day, you will possess more than $8.6 million. A year later, you’ll have a little more than $3.15 billion. In other words, it will take you and your machine more than 317 years to produce a trillion dollars.
    Importing Made in America crisisBy: KJPATEL | 19-Oct-2008 Reply | Forward Mir Ali Hussain writing in Outlook gives an example of how such a large number is made to come to life for our understanding. As figures keep getting tossed around, one begins to suffer from number fatigue. How does one make sense of these large values? Here’s one way to imagine a trillion dollars. Let’s say you have a magic machine that spits out a $100 bill every second, all day and all night long. In the first minute, you’d have $6,000. In the first hour, $360,000. In the first 24-hour day, you will possess more than $8.6 million. A year later, you’ll have a little more than $3.15 billion. In other words, it will take you and your machine more than 317 years to produce a trillion dollars.
    Concealing the Whole TruthBy: Alankar JNU | 19-Oct-2008 Reply | Forward It would have looked a more comprehensive and complete piece had Kulkarni mentioned that after starting with the devastating Manmohanomics in early 1990s how Vajpayee-Advani led NDA rule had rigorously paced India's ugly pursuit of the 'American Dream'. Does the author feel Indians have forgotten that 'India Shining' was all out a BJP campaign to sell vigorously India's hot pursuit of American-like false prosperity? He also fails to mention how Left rulers like CPI-CPM through TATAs are shamelessly on the same path of selling American dream to Indians of owning a car just for luxury rather than utility, especially amongst Indian lower middle class in shape of NANO the Rs 1 Lakh car. Anyways, one did not expect from author Kulkarni a speech-writer of Advani to be so truly candid. The article seems another exercise to ensure that an unfruitful blame game exercise continues in people's mind regarding choice of political masters from the same corrupt, immoral, rotten and pro-rich lobby
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