Britain's sour scrap with Russia over the British Council is an odd but unpleasant start to the year. At best, it is neutral in what it implies for (Britain’s) relations with Moscow — a self-contained row over an issue that Russia has chosen to find provocative for a long time but which matters very little to Britain in practice and, indeed, leaves it on the moral high ground. At worst, it is a sign that Russia (or at least Vladimir Putin in his last three months as President) is in the mood for a fight and will extend that to issues that do matter — such as Iran and energy investments.

On balance, the threat looks mild. But that judgment rests on Russia acknowledging that it needs foreign help in energy, and on Dmitri Medvedev, Putin’s anointed successor, being more pragmatic. Both are gambles.

Why should the poor British Council be the Kremlin’s target? This one comes with baggage; Russia has been irked for ages by the council’s promotion of British culture, out of proportion to its success, although that is solid.

Britain has hoped that, during a worsening rift with Russia, disputes would stay separate from each other. That was almost too much to hope for after its request in May for the extradition of Andrei Lugovoi, a businessman, on suspicion of killing Alexander Litvinenko, a former agent, by polonium poisoning.

Despite a few rhetorical swipes, the Kremlin has managed to maintain this separation. Britain hopes to reach a new resolution in the United Nations Security Council on more sanctions against Iran in punishment for its refusal to curb its nuclear programme. This will need Russian support. Britain also expects Kosovo to declare independence from Serbia, possibly next month, and for Russia not to intervene in any way that seriously destabilises the region.

... contd.