The election in Gujarat may turn out to bear an uncanny similarity with the exercise to elect India’s president: it may be most gripping for the margins of victory and defeat. Regardless of whether Modi wins and loses, every vote will be counted. And for Modi and the BJP, the rumblings are unmistakable already. For most of his tenure as chief minister, Modi has cultivated a personality cult that has almost completely diminished and marginalised his party. It is said that he is unavailable to party MLAs and ministers who demand their share of the spoils of power. But the reality also has another dimension: he is inaccessible to his party colleagues. In the last five years, Modi has concentrated all power unto himself, starved his party, alienated his ideological parivar. The large anti-Modi faction in the Gujarat BJP may not have a prominent leader in charge after Keshubhai Patel all but threw in the towel, but it is supported by large sections of the state leadership of the RSS and VHP.

Modi’s politics will be on test later this year and the answers will be crucial for the country. Can secularism survive if Modi wins — is not the overwhelming worry this time. The more interesting question could be: in the cabinet system of government, just how large can a chief minister be?