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N-Bill done, PM to move on Pak, J&K

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  • With the Hyde Act that liberates India from long atomic isolation in his pocket, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s diplomatic focus is now likely to shift to Pakistan. As the historic nuclear breakthrough with the US boosts the Government’s confidence, Singh might now be ready to press ahead with a bolder initiative on addressing the dispute with Pakistan over Jammu and Kashmir.

    In his public address tomorrow in Amritsar, Singh is expected to respond to Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf’s recent comments to NDTV channel on a framework for the settlement of Jammu and Kashmir. Singh might also have something to say on the progress in the internal political track in J&K. After his second round table some months ago with a variety of political formations in J&K, he has been examining a range of ideas to transform the political and economic conditions in Kashmir.

    Singh’s response will be carefully read in Islamabad and other world capitals and could set the tone for External Affairs Minister Pranab Mukherjee’s visit to Pakistan next month. Mukherjee’s talks with Musharraf in Islamabad could also see the finalisation of a set of dates, in the not too distant future, for the PM’s long overdue visit to Pakistan.

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    On his way back from Japan over the weekend, the PM, in a brief response welcomed Musharraf’s remarks, that many here see as representing a significant evolution of Pakistan’s position on J&K.

    Musharraf had ruled out independence for J&K, and offered to relinquish Pakistani claims on J&K in the event of a final settlement between India and Pakistan. He had also hinted that Pakistan is not seeking a territorial adjustment in J&K and will instead accept a package that focuses on “self-governance” for the divided parts of J&K, that lies somewhere between “autonomy” and “independence”.

    Musharraf also sought to build upon Singh’s earlier proposal to establish a “cooperative and consultative mechanism” between the two Kashmirs to ameliorate the human condition in the state.

    Singh had made this suggestion during his last visit to Amritsar in March 2006. He might now want to pick up the thread of public diplomacy with Pakistan on J&K in Amritsar tomorrow.

    By accident or design, Amritsar, at the heart of the Punjab which paid such a huge price for the partition of the sub-continent in 1947, has emerged as the venue for Singh’s big political moves on Kashmir and Pakistan.

    Analysts say Singh’s Amritsar initiative for a consultative mechanism across the dividing line in J&K is perhaps the one of the few creative ideas to emerge in the many decades of talks between India and Pakistan on Kashmir. The last time he was in Amritsar, Singh also proposed “a treaty of peace and friendship” that could round off a potential resolution of the Kashmir question and the comprehensive normalisation of bilateral relations.

    After Amritsar, the July massacre in Mumbai derailed the peace process. It took the September meeting in Havana between Singh and Musharraf to revive the engagement between the two nations. Although the announcement of a joint Indo-Pak mechanism on counter-terror cooperation drew much public attention, the two leaders in Havana had, in a far more consequential affirmation, declared that progress had indeed occurred in the bilateral negotiations on J&K.

    In Havana, Singh and Musharraf had also agreed to work together to reduce the divergence of views on Kashmir and build on the emerging convergences. The indications since Havana, especially Musharraf’s recent remarks, are that the back channel conversations on J&K have acquired some momentum.

    Singh had repeatedly insisted that there must be considerable progress in bilateral negotiations before he could go to Pakistan. His remarks in Amritsar tomorrow could give us a peep into the state of play or Indo-Pak diplomacy that has entered a defining moment.

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