While there has been a drop in the rate of decline in office space rental rates in the country in the second quarter of the current fiscal, the absorption rate has shown an uptrend for the first time in four quarters. This is according to a recent research report — State of the Office Sector – by financial and professional services firm Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj (JLLM). The report shows that the rate of decline, as a national average, has slowed to 8.3 per sent in the second quarter, compared with a dramatic drop of 18.8 per cent in the previous quarter. Nation-wide, rates had dropped sharply in the first quarter of this fiscal as compared with an 8.6 per cent drop in the last quarter of the previous fiscal.The report’s author, JLLM research head Abhishek Kiran Gupta has attributed slowdown in rate of decline of office space rental rates to four factors that have helped shape the Indian economy over the past six months. The factors pointed to are: Firstly, increased liquidity in the market due to fiscal measures taken by the government. Secondly, a sharp rise of 4,536 points in the Sensex in the first six months of this fiscal. The index has risen over 50 per cent after hitting a low of 8,451 points on November 20 of last year post the Lehman Brothers-led global financial crash. Thirdly, strengthened political stability with the UPA governments being sworn back into to power and sweeping the elections by a large margin. The government has also shown its resolve in boosting the economy with a string of fiscal measures as well as its decision to disinvest large public sector undertakings. And lastly, green shoots that are now being seen in the affordable segment of the residential sector. There has been a rise in the number of developers embarking on affordable housing projects across the nation. The study covers seven cities — Hyderabad, Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata, Bangalore, Chennai and Pune. It, however, does not include Chandigarh. While only Hyderabad has shown a steady decline in office space rentals quarter-on-quarter — from (-)5.8 per cent in Q4 of the previous fiscal to (-)7.6 per cent in Q1 and a further drop to (-)10.4 per cent in Q2 of this fiscal — all other cities, except Pune, have shown a drop in the rate of decline. In Pune, the decline in office space rental rates has been witness to a gradual slowing down — from (-)17.3 per cent in Q4 of the previous fiscal, to (-) 12.9 per cent in Q1 of the current fiscal, to a weak (-)4.2 per cent in Q2. The country’s financial and political capitals — Mumbai and Delhi — have seen a drastic drop in rate of decline. Both cities have seen a near-13 percentage point drop in rate of decline of office space rentals. Gupta contends that the factors that led to the slowdown in decline, coupled with the gradual revival of opportunistic demand, have led to strengthening of absorption rates.

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