The fight moves north

Facing a downslide in Saurashtra, the ruling BJP hopes to make some compensatory gains here, riding on the controversial ‘Sujalam Sufalam’ scheme—the canal project for distribution of narmada water—and on the new highways built here in the past five years.

Regarding caste, while the BJP draws some level of comfort from the fact that this is the area of Kadva and not Leuva Patels (the community that is rebelling against Modi), the Congress is equally confident given the predominance of Thakors, tribals, and Kshatriyas here. These are the communities that constituted the bedrock of the party’s KHAM (Kshatriya, Harijan, Adivasi, Muslim) combination in its heyday in Gujarat, and both Solanki and Vaghela wield enormous clout in the region.

While the Congress got a headstart in May this year by bringing party chief Sonia Gandhi to a well attended farmers’ rally in Mehsana, the BJP has deftly worked on caste combinations and the cooperatives in the area.

Among the keenly fought and watched contests from the region would be that of Education Minister Anandiben Patel from Patan city. In neighbouring Siddhpur, former Narmada Minister Jainarayan Vyas is locked in a close fight with Congress whip Balwantsinh Rajput. Then there is Mahendrasinh Vaghela, son of Union Textiles Minister Shankersinh Vaghela, from Meghraj in Sabarkantha. Having recently joined the BJP following a compromise with Modi, Vipul Chaudhary, is contesting from Bhiloda seat in Sabarkantha.

The Speaker in the outgoing Assembly, Mangalbhai Patel, had a tough time getting his party’s ticket from Mansa in Gandhinagar. If Patel wins against the Congress’s Babusinh Thakor, he will break a record of no Speaker in Gujarat getting re-elected.

Key players in North Gujarat

BJP: Education Minister Anandiben Patel (Patan), former Narmada Minister Jainarayan Vyas (Siddhpur), Dairy Cooperative strongman Vipul Chaudhary (Bhiloda), Gujarat Assembly Speaker Mangalbhai Patel (Mansa)

Congress: Shankersinh Vaghela’s son Mahendrasinh Vaghela (Meghraj), Congress whip Balwantsinh Rajput (Siddhpur), former bureaucrat C J Chavda (Gandhinagar), BHP rebel Ramila Desai (Kheralul)