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The four-fold promise

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  • Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee delivered more in Budget 2010 than was expected. It was a challenging job to roll back the stimulus in a small and calibrated manner, as well as lower the fiscal deficit significantly. But, the FM delivered more than this tight-rope balancing act. He laid out the big picture on fiscal consolidation by reducing government debt, as recommended by the Thirteenth Finance Commission. He promised that the Direct Tax Code and the Goods and Services Tax will be implemented from April 1, 2011. These would be vital ingredients in allowing the government to meet its fiscal consolidation targets.

    However, some of these announcements were expected, and perhaps not fulfilling these expectations would have created negative sentiment. What came as a pleasant surprise were some new initiatives in the budget speech.

    First, the FM announced the setting up of an apex-level Financial Stability and Development Council to strengthen, institutionalise and maintain financial stability. The need for such a body has been acutely felt after the global financial crisis. In the nascent field of financial stability there is an understanding that taking steps to address issues of risks to the financial system as a whole can require giving directions to all regulators. On his own a regulator, such as the equity markets regulator, or the banking regulator, may not be able to see risks building up and may not tighten norms when required. This means a body over and above the existing regulators is required. Also, in the Indian context, this may involve taking decisions about unregulated entities, as it did in the case of the investment banks in the US. Today we may not know where trouble may arise but if it does, these trouble spots should not fall between the cracks in regulation.

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    Revolution againt poverty is much need of the timeBy: Jhanki Das | 08-Mar-2010 Reply | Forward Illuji, under the supervision of Manmohan Singh and Chidambaram our country has really progressed. There are some ifs and buts in this budget also, but generally it is more than ok.Fact is that much of the population of India is living below poverty line and the budget does not mean a thing for them, many of the poor do not know where their next meal would come from, therfore, it is a must that our country should grant some aid to the poor so that they could exist. We should also help those who lives in slums and other such places, because their lives are only worth a cheap saree in return for their vote or Rs.20 and a handkerchief by Kirpalu types.
    Really?By: JB | 28-Feb-2010 Reply | Forward I fail to share the enthusiasm in the govt setting up yet another bureaucratic entity. Secondly, the next para: "Further, the public anger.." seems to suggest that the "regulatory" entity would have somehow allow the govt to take bold decisions. I fail to see how exactly a regulatory allows the govt to do so. At best it can prevent issues from getting out of hand. Lastly, I wish the finmin would state the inflation and gdp numbers together for the past year and for the forecasts (and that may mean quoting RBI's policy target for inflation). The point being that in the past two years wpi inflation has outpaced GDP growth so I fail to share the enthusiasm of a "recovery" when isn't a "real" one. My point is not to be pessimistic but to recognize the numbers for what they are so one can move forward with better understanding.
    Budget dissectionBy: Santosh Agarwal | 27-Feb-2010 Reply | Forward Crisp. Very well written. Liked the emphasis on the long-term institutional mechanism creation. More than the mundane aspects of the budget, a partial sense of vision of expressed in the four areas you discussed at length. Good work again.
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