Opinion The longest campaign
The Congress-BSP spat was the first thud in UPs post-election lull,it promises to get noisier...
There are many dimensions to the Rita Bahuguna-Joshi episode which secured her two nights in jail,and resulted in several sightings of a rare creature the Congress worker in Uttar Pradesh coming out in numbers to the streets. It has been condemned in the strongest of terms but the charring of Bahugunas house in Lucknows VIP area that followed seems to have given both sides,the ruling party in the state,the BSP,and that at the Centre,the Congress,a lot of ammunition. It was the first thud in the post-election lull,and things promise to get noisier.
A battle is on for the heart of the heartland. The assembly elections are three years away,but there will be many such political moments which each side will try and push to energise its workers and try and occupy the political space. The Congress in the 2007 assembly polls,at 8.5 per cent of the vote,was at an all-time low,but it went on to rise in just two years,getting 18.3 per cent of the vote in the recent general election. Now,there is a view in the Congress that it is actually not a battle for the opposition space,as that was secured in the Lok Sabha polls now,they believe,it is a battle for who will take the baton from the BSP chief,as she has singularly failed to inspire the state in the absolute majority the electorate handed her.
The Samajwadi Party is on the backfoot,edgy and gingerly still wondering what to do with its opposition to the BSP and its complicated relationship with the Congress-led UPA. Currently,it is out of power effectively in the state and the Centre,and does not appear as sure-footed and nimble as it has in the past.
But both the BSP and the Congress sense that it is a larger battle being fought in the state,one that may need a long time to play out fully.
The caste-based parties that for 20 years thought a little plus vote around their core was enough to sail them to power are being forced to rethink their strategy. It is a challenging time for them,as they try to retain their core vote and lunge out for more,that too at a time when the Congress is in power at the Centre. Both the BSP and the Congress are trying to tantalise with the offer of what a state (or power) can deliver to the voter.
There was a meeting of Congress MPs when the prime minister spoke about Bundelkhand and the need for a special package for the drought-affected there.
Mayawati has not been far behind. She has instituted schemes,using the powers she has as chief minister,to assert how she is as good as the Congress at what the UPA claims to be delivering equitable schemes and inclusive schemes,pro-poor and blind to caste (whether they are about scholarships for poor girls or most recently,home entitlement for the poor).
The past 20 years in UP saw politics centred around your last name,your community and kin,something that also went on to define what parties eventually did in office. This is not to say that the Congress regime prior to 1989 was a pious one,ensuring inclusive and equitable school attendance. But since the 90s,the anxiousness displayed by bahubalis/ musclemen to join the party in power (whether the SP,BSP or BJP) turned into a nightmare for voters and a symbol of what the state there had grown to encompass in the post-Congress era.
Of course,the reason the Congress fell by the wayside was its inability to understand the democratic deepening that caste parties seemed to have undergone. It seemed to be in denial about caste,still dazed why it had lost,as time and newer parties held sway. But slowly,the identity idea seemed to have exhausted itself. Of late,the Congress,actively and especially through the UPA-I phase and the grand schemes it came up with,ended up showcasing the power of a state that had the capacity to better lives. Its various schemes and constant talk of employment and education pushed the idea of a state that was different from the one that had emerged in UP more recently. The state,to the average,unconnected UP resident,over the past two decades had become a realm apart as this was one that musclemen,that the electorate politely calls mafia,were rushing to be patronised by,as they shifted loyalties between the SP,BSP and BJP depending upon who was in power in Lucknow.
At the moment,wiser by 20 years,the Congress is sensitised to caste as a phenomenon,but possibly wants to make that only the fine-print in a larger aspirational slogan of improving lives. The Congress has the added advantage of not having been in power for the past two decades,so there is no baggage for the first-time voter,just nostalgia.
The UP chief minister did not waste a moment before booking the UPCC president in a case after the speech was made (though regrets were issued by her shortly afterward). It was used as a point to remind her core voters that she is a Dalit first.
So,at one level the meeting of Congress MPs with the prime minister this week can be seen as a banal and straightforward call for benefiting one of the darkest corners of UP,a region which has witnessed drought and deep neglect,even by the high standards of underdevelopment in the state. But making demands like these is essentially a larger battle between two different visions or projections of what the state and state power can and should be about.
seema.chishti@expressindia.com