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The political price of rice

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  • You may have missed the front-page article in the New York Times last Saturday, with the one-column headline written in clipped newspaperese: ‘High Rice Cost Creating Fears of Asia Unrest.’ But this little story could be an early warning of another big economic problem that’s sneaking up on us.

    The new danger is global inflation — most worryingly in food prices, but also in prices for commodities, raw materials and products that require petroleum energy, which includes almost everything. Prices for these goods have been skyrocketing in international markets — at the same time the Federal Reserve and other central banks have been hosing the world with new money in their efforts to avoid a financial crisis.

    That’s an explosive mixture. It risks a kind of inflation that would trigger panic buying, hoarding and fears of mass political protest. Actually, this is already happening in Asia, according to the Times.

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    The price of rice in global markets has nearly doubled in the last three months, reports the Times’s Keith Bradsher. Fearing shortages, some major rice producers — including Vietnam, India, Egypt and Cambodia have sharply limited their rice exports so they can be sure they can feed their own people.

    Bradsher summarises the evidence that food shortages and inflation are fueling political unrest: “Since January, thousands of troops have been deployed in Pakistan to guard trucks carrying wheat and flour. Protests have erupted in Indonesia over soybean shortages, and China has put price controls on cooking oil, grain, meat, milk and eggs. Food riots have erupted in recent months in Guinea, Mauritania, Mexico, Morocco, Senegal, Uzbekistan and Yemen.”

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