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Thumbs up, nails frayed: Delhi sent demarche to Beijing, Bush called Hu

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  • The Nuclear Suppliers Group, the 45 countries that govern global nuclear trade and who first came together to punish India after its 1974 atomic tests, today changed the very rules they had set to accept the reality of a rising India. The NSG signed off on an unprecedented waiver that makes India the only country outside the NPT to have a nuclear weapons programme and be able to conduct full civil nuclear cooperation with the international community.

    It was also a rare occasion where US and Russia — now bitterly adversarial over the conflict in Georgia — worked together with two other nuclear powers to get a waiver for India. And yet, it did not come without fierce resistance. China, which seemed to threaten the entire process yesterday, stood up after the consensus decision was reached this morning here and read out a statement stating its “national position” that essentially urged countries to strive for a balance between non-proliferation and promoting civil nuclear energy cooperation. It also hoped that this decision would stand the test of time and that the NSG would address “aspirations” of all parties seeking peaceful use of nuclear power.

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    Last night, China had delivered a surprise by threatening to leave, objecting to the manner in which US was “forcing” a consensus. Clearly, Beijing decided to make its dissent open and, very quickly, countermeasures were put in place. Closely coordinating with the US, New Delhi issued a strong demarche to China in Beijing late last night. The same was conveyed to the Chinese Embassy in New Delhi this morning, which was gearing up for Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi’s visit starting tomorrow. Sources said South Block worked through the night passing on the tough message to Beijing that its position was contrary to assurances it had given at the political level that it wouldn’t come in the way of an NSG consensus for India.

    Washington simultaneously stepped up gears and US President George W. Bush contacted his Chinese counterpart Hu Jintao asking him not to block the waiver. Sources said “everyone in the US government below the President” leaned on someone in the Chinese government in a closely coordinated effort. In short, the US “pulled out all stops,” including reminding the Chinese of the evidence Washington had of its past proliferation activities, particularly in Pakistan.

    Bush, along with Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, National Security Advisor Stephen Hadley, Deputy Secretary of State John Negroponte and US Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs William Burns, incrementally leaned on their counterparts in the club of six holdout countries — Austria, Netherlands, Norway, Ireland, New Zealand and Switzerland — to accept the waiver on the basis of the statement on disarmament made by External Affairs Minister Pranab Mukherjee yesterday.

    As a result of these efforts, it was decided to change the draft and include a reference to Mukherjee’s statement in the final decision which was taken today. While there were dogged efforts to include a provision that would cease cooperation with India in case it detonates a nuclear device, New Delhi stood firm and Washington did not press further. Both India and the US maintained that Paragraph 16 of the NSG guidelines that provide for NSG consultation in such circumstances — where NSG could by consensus suspend further trade — was sufficient. This rule, incidentally, also applies to all countries of the NSG.

    On this note, the meeting ended last night at 1 am with countries taking back the new draft for internal discussions. In the end, it was a political call taken by the sceptic countries not to continue with their opposition, particularly after the diplomatic offensive mounted by the US at the highest levels in coordination with India. While the final decision is still to be released, sources confirmed to The Sunday Express that there is no mention of the “testing” word in the draft.

    There are changes in language and phraseology in some places but no major amendment except for the reference to Mukherjee’s statement that was included in the revised draft circulated a few days before the NSG plenary started its meeting on Thursday. Officials said Germany, the NSG chair, will now send the decision to IAEA Director General Mohammed ElBaradei by Monday who will then circulate it as an INFCIRC (information circular) document among all members.


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