Losar, the ongoing Tibetan New Year, is likely to herald a silent spring. There will be none of the festivities that greet the arrival of spring that marks the most important holiday in the Tibetan calendar. This year has seen Tibetans depart from tradition and mark the day by mourning those dead in the protests last March. By observing Black Losar, they will also be mourning Tibet’s rapidly degrading environment which has brought increased socio-economic vulnerability in its wake. There is growing social angst that, if left unchecked, there could soon be no spring left to celebrate. 

For their part, many in Beijing may well wonder what the fuss is all about. After all, Tibet has been very much the poster child of China’s Western Development Strategy. The policy was unveiled in the mid-’90s to make amends for regional disparities seen as “an eagle spreading only one wing for flight”. The strategy has been a fairly uncomplicated mix-and-stir model of development with an enormous infusion of funds to fast-track the region’s growth. Huge subsidies and investments have poured in, transforming Tibet’s skyline with gleaming engineering marvels. The Tibetan economy has posted double-digit growth rates for several years in a row. In short, an in-your-face prosperity that Beijing thought was guaranteed to end all debate.  

Ironically, it has only started a raging debate on prosperity and its discontents. Its all-consuming obsession with growth has meant that China’s contributions to global warming are today as massive as those to the global economy. Chinese scientists have long warned that Tibet is warming up faster than any other part of the world. Rising temperatures on the plateau will melt glaciers, dry up rivers and set off droughts, floods and desertification. Tibet has also seen a relentless surge in footfall with four million tourists in 2007, outnumbering the local population of 2.8 million and overwhelming its fragile environment. These ecological footprints are fast enveloping areas of North China; those have borne the brunt of powerful sandstorms, with one such storm depositing Beijing with 330,000 tonnes of sand in 2006. The same year also saw one of the worst droughts in over 50 years, leaving 10 million people without access to drinking water.  

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