Sign In / Register
Make This My Home Page | Feedback |RSS
You are here: IE »   Story

‘Tightening of monetary policy seems implausible’

  • Print
  • Mail This Article
  • Comments
  • Add to favorites
  • Arvind

    The problem is limited flexibility in labour laws. This cannot lead to fast growth of labour-intensive mass manufacturing. However, the semi-skilled-labour manufacturing can go on if education is improved. Take Bangladesh. The garment industry is labour-intensive there whereas in India it is fragmented and nobody wants to employ more than 10 people. This is part of the larger structural issue where most labour still goes to agriculture in India. In this scenario, contract labour is a win-win solution as the laws will apply to the contracting agency and not to the employer. Moreover, labour will not get affected completely if there is, for instance, a slowdown in one sector, say, exports.

    The government has already given a fiscal stimulus of almost 3.5 per cent of the GDP to the economy. Is there a case for continuing with this?

    The interim Budget has already stated the plan to return to fiscal deficit targets. The economic analysis suggests that it is necessary to maintain fiscal stimulus as we are still in the midst of global crisis. Fiscal deficit is a constraint to growth but we need to make choices necessary in the short term. As of now, I think we require fiscal stimulus as the problem of low demand is still evident in the data.

    Ads by Google

    On the monetary policy front there has been a lot of easing since September 2008 but transmission of liquidity has not happened…..

    Tightening of monetary policy seems implausible as the Index of Industrial Production growth is close to zero. Policies need to be consistent with the economic climate and therefore, both, monetary and fiscal policies have to focus on generation of demand. Our domestic concern is food-price inflation but the larger issue is linking liquidity to commodity speculation, especially oil.

    ... contd.

    PreviousNext1234
    Comments
    Post comment

    Be the first to comment.

    Post a Comment
    Name:
    Email:
    Title:
    Maximum characters allowed     
    Comment:
    TERMS OF USE:
    The views, opinions and comments posted are your, and are not endorsed by this website. You shall be solely responsible for the comment posted here. The website reserves the right to delete, reject, or otherwise remove any views, opinions and comments posted or part thereof. You shall ensure that the comment is not inflammatory, abusive, derogatory, defamatory &/or obscene, or contain pornographic matter and/or does not constitute hate mail, or violate privacy of any person (s) or breach confidentiality or otherwise is illegal, immoral or contrary to public policy. Nor should it contain anything infringing copyright &/or intellectual property rights of any person(s).
    I agree to the terms of use.