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Tracking Tehran

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  • It is doubtful that even if the moderates do gain greater say in Tehran — and regain the confidence of the supreme leader — there would be any rollback of the official insistence on the nuclear programme. So the sanction regime would still be salient. But Rafsanjani’s consolidation in official circles could break the non-communication between Tehran and the West. And given the brewing confrontation, that would make the region less dangerous.

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