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Two PMs, One Big Idea

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It is fascinating that Prime Minister Manmohan Singh invoked the Vajpayee spirit to seek both inspiration and validation for his own move at Sharm el-Sheikh. Fascinating because Vajpayee made three landmark moves to make peace with Pakistan, each time going out on a limb, in spite of grave provocations. Each time he was let down — though by the Pakistanis, and not his own partymen, as almost became the case with Manmohan Singh until Sonia Gandhi imposed Section 144. And yet, each time the public opinion supported him. You ask Jairam Ramesh what were the strongest factors still working for the incumbent in the 2004 campaign, and he will tell you: highway building, and peace with Pakistan.

Vajpayee’s first move came with the bus ride to Lahore. It was a decade ago, but not enough time has still passed for me to be able to recount the inside story of that move — which surprised the foreign ministries on both sides — or to disclose any conversations. But during that period there was no let-up in attacks in the Valley; in fact a major massacre took place even when Vajpayee was in Lahore. Yet he visited Minar-e-Pakistan and declared that a stable and prosperous Pakistan was entirely in India’s interest. The significance of a BJP prime minister making that statement was not lost on anybody in Pakistan. It was as historic as Advani’s subsequent rationalisation of Jinnah as a modern leader — and Vajpayee was never to go back on it even after the embarrassing, and politically near-fatal discovery that Musharraf’s infiltrators were occupying Kargil exactly when he was making the peace in Lahore. That is because finding peace with Pakistan was never a tactical, short-term ploy in his mind. It was a Great, Big idea. In fact, the Great Big Idea of his entirely statesmanly mind. And when he lost power in May 2004, his biggest regret was that he would not be able to take it to its logical conclusion.

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He explained his beliefs so poignantly in a conversation in the first week of July 2001, and one that I can recount. I had asked him for time to try to understand the reason why he had made an entirely unexpected and unexplained move to invite Musharraf for the summit in Agra. This was when Musharraf’s legitimacy was in doubt. Insurgency in Kashmir was at its very worst and Indian public opinion was still smarting from the humiliation of IC-184’s hijack to Kandahar. And even after Vajpayee first invited him from his annual summer retreat in the hills in the last week of May, Musharraf had given him enough provocation to go slow, if not cancel altogether.

Was this really such a good time to invite Musharraf for a summit, I asked him, and then to persist — despite so many provocations, silly pre-conditions, a response so immature that even an eternal pacifist like Inder Gujral said Musharraf was behaving as if he thought he was coming to a defeated nation?

“Dekhiye,” he said. “If leaders of India and Pakistan keep waiting for the ideal moment to try to make peace, they may never get a chance.”

But I persisted: why now, was it a brain-wave, some sort of an inspiration, international pressure, why put up with so many demands from Musharraf even while setting up the summit?

There was a long, long silence which was not unusual of Vajpayee and which meant one of two things. Either he did not want to answer, or he was thinking. I had learnt the trick was not to interrupt his silence. I was rewarded.

“Quite honestly,” he said, “I have had some second thoughts... But, dekhiye, there is a Saxena family we vaguely know in Lucknow. Their son, a major, died fighting in Kashmir (Major Anshoo Saxena, our defence correspondent Manu Pubby tells me, of 8 Sikh Regiment seconded to 6th battalion of Rashtriya Rifles, killed in Kupwara fighting LeT on June 25 and decorated with the Sena Medal posthumously) and, since Lucknow is my constituency, I called his father to commiserate with him.

“And you know what, his father wasn’t crying or distraught. He was stoic (thande dimaag se bole rahe the) and resolute. He said, why one son, I would sacrifice any number for my country. And then I thought, his grief is still fresh. In a few days, he and his family will feel the absence of his son, the enormity of their loss. They will not complain, because that is just how patriotic our ordinary people are. But for how long must this go on? How many families have been similarly subjected to grief on both sides in so many decades? How many more generations will have to live with this? So I thought, forget all the irritations, leaders of my generation owe it to our future to honestly settle this once and for all.”

His disappointment with Musharraf at Agra was grave. He was as surprised by Musharraf’s impetuosity and immaturity as Musharraf, in turn, was by his reserve. And then, he was furious when his Parliament was attacked. Just two weeks after that attack, as our forces were going through an unprecedented mobilisation, I had another conversation with him that I treasure, and that I can now report.

He gave me an audience that sunny, late December afternoon, in his lawn, along with a bowl of scalding, salt-laden vegetable soup. By now, I knew that what worked with him was an informal, even light-hearted approach, rather than a straight question which often made him just go into a silence that only you would break with your next question. So I told him, almost facetiously, I had merely come to ask him if it was OK for me to carry on with my family on a long-planned vacation in Kerala, because if a war started meanwhile and airspace was closed, did I really want to get trapped so far away from my newsroom?

“Yeh bhi koi chhutti pe jaane ka samay hai (is this a time to go on a vacation)?” he asked.

So is the prospect of war a real one, I asked. He again went into a long, long silence. And I was glad I waited him out on this one.

“Everybody wants to go to war. The armed forces are so angry. But ek samasya hai (there is a problem). You can decide over when you start a war. But once started, when it will end, how it will end, nobody knows. That is a call leaders have to take,” he said, focusing entirely on his soup. Once again it was a statesman speaking rather than an angry Indian.

After almost 16 months of stand-off on the borders and coercive diplomacy when, as disclosed by Brajesh Mishra in an interview with me on NDTV’s Walk the Talk, an all-out war nearly broke out on two occasions, Vajpayee again made a dramatic “turnaround”. Addressing a crowd in April 2003 in Srinagar, he made yet another unilateral peace offer, to his own Kashmiris as well as Pakistan, and it yielded the Islamabad Declaration after a summit with Musharraf in January 2004.

I again asked him how he justified this about-turn. I knew he had not discussed this even with his core cabinet colleagues. It was an instinctive, political call that even took Brajesh Mishra by total surprise. Vajpayee admitted it was a call so sudden, he himself subsequently felt surprised he made it at the spur of a moment. And what was that moment?

He said as he spoke at the Srinagar rally he looked into the eyes of the Kashmiris in his audience. “None of them looked like they wanted to fight with us. All of them looked like they wanted peace, a return to normalcy, so I made one more move again, without thinking, or consulting anybody.”

Manmohan Singh is not a mass leader or public speaker to rival Vajpayee. But what Vajpayee had by way of political instinct and, what a senior American diplomat once described to me as, “this magisterial control over public opinion”, Manmohan Singh has in intellect. He is also as much of a patriot and, as we now know, risk-taker. That is why he stuck his neck out at Sharm el-Sheikh. That is why he is invoking Atal Bihari Vajpayee, the statesman.

sg@expressindia.com

 
 
Atal irraday..and..Manmohanay sapnnayBy: Prakash Kanungo | 07-Aug-2009 Reply | Forward It is TIME Indian PMs of both kind: Raja Kind or Telli Kind,learn basics about Pakistan that "Aam Admi" of India already know.Paki- Cardinal truths must be faced:( without looking at Vote Bank or being Immotional/ on moral high ground)1)Pakistan is in self destruction mode and India must allow it to happen.2) Why India should bail out USA/ UK for their historical blunders of 1945 till date..They have created and cultivated nuclear armed babby Pakistan...Let them sort out this spoilt brat.3)Democracy in Pakistan or any Islamic society can be finished off by "One Jeep and two Armed personnel carriers" as democracy is unpalletable to Islamic thought and Book.4)Once War trophy "Osama Bin Laden" is destroyed...USA is taking Rocket speed Exit from Af- Pak.Nuclear threats from Pakistan are to scare Western nations!5)Yes final solution will be written by Indian foot soldiers' blood,and surviving Pak.generals will have to face "Nuremberg " trials for Crimes against Humanity.
MrBy: Ashok Kapur | 04-Aug-2009 Reply | Forward When do we learn that foreign policy should not be dictated by well meaning dreamers?Nehru went to the UN when we were about to knock off the problem.He volunteered to hold a plebicite when no one asked him to do so.60 years later and God knows how many years more we will be stuck with Kashmir as a problem.Nehru proclaimed a Hindi chini Bhai Bhai policy with good intentions and expecting reciprocity. His dream turned out to be our unending nightmare.Foreign policy decisions should not made on the spur of themoment but in evaluation of a million pros and cons. It is hard work.Intuition must not determine policy. Intuition is for gamblers. We are bad gamblers. Only it affects the future of our nation.Pakistanis are already crowing over the statement and gloating over our frustration at their response to our 26/11So what was the big deal that this article seems to glorify?
Keep it up Mr.Gupta-By: C.Sanjay | 04-Aug-2009 Reply | Forward Only able can. This brilliant analysis of Dr.Singh's move and his invocation of ABV to justify his latest move and in turn Shekhar's de-classification of his encounters prove that.Wish able minded people with influence over public opinion could 'read' this and help propagate beyond confines of thinking IE reading few to grass root mass.Keep it up Mr.Gupta.
Vajpayee By: Sanjiv | 03-Aug-2009 Reply | Forward Even though ABV made 3 attempts for peace with Pakistan his sense of timing the attempt and rolling them back was superb. He did not hesitate to declare "Aar ya Paar Ka Yudha" when it was necessary. His each initiative was based on credibility of govermnment of Pakistan. He dealt with Mush twice when Mush was in full command.Secondly, he was tall enough and capable enough to ignore RSS elements who tried to control him remotely. RSS needed Vajpayee he never required them to prove his mettle.With MMS it is different. He is clealy giving impression of uckling under US pressure. Nobody in India knows who is in command in Pakistan - Gilani, Zardari or the enigmatic Gen Kayani. Lstly, MMS's remote control has started treating him as a stop gap nuisance and MMS badly needs its support as in the absence of Remote he is non-entity.
Who are we trying to fool?By: Manoj Agarwal | 03-Aug-2009 Reply | Forward I totally disagree with the analysis put forward here. There is only one thing that is common between what Vajpayee did and what Dr.Singh is trying to do and that is desire to have peace with Pakistan. But similarity ends right there. Vajpayee never desired peace at the cost of our national interest, self esteem and strategic goals. He never compromised on our basic tenet as a victim of terrorism perpetuated from Islamabad against us. Yes, we need to talk but under certain parameters that we think are fundamental to out position vis-à-vis terrorism. By giving victim certificate to sponsor of terrorism, by institutionalizing joint anti terror mechanism, by de-linking dialogue with acts of terrorism and by putting final nail in the form of Balochistan, I really don't know what are we trying to achieve? If anything that we witnessed in last five years, it is unprecedented increase in terrorist attack in India. What Guzral did on the ground by rolling back RAW, MMS is doing on the table.
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