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Two Towers of Babel

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  • As in India, a centre-left grand old party dominated politics till 1977; Labor-led ruling coalitions were the norm till centre-right Likud formed the government that year. The second departure came in November 2005 when Ariel Sharon broke with Likud to form centrist Kadima, which won the March 2006 elections — its first — to lead a new coalition.

    The outgoing Knesset has 18 parties with Kadima and Labor leading the incumbent executive. Till date, most opinion polls show Binyamin Netanyahu’s Likud has a clear lead over Kadima with Labor a poor third. Twelve days is a longer time for a 120-member legislature in a small country than for one with 545 in a large state. But in that other land of miracles, Likud’s return at the head of a new coalition, forged and preserved as laboriously as always, is almost certain. The re-ignition of conflict along the Gaza border this week can only help Likud.

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    sudeep.paul@expressindia.com

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    wrong analysisBy: mathew | 30-Jan-2009 Reply | Forward Sudeep Paul as usual gets his analysis wrong. Perhaps he needs to go beyond reading left leaning Israeli newspapers. Barak stands to gain the most because of the successful "Operation Cast Lead". Labour which was not thought to be in the reckoning even in the first week of December has seen its popularity sky rocket. KAdima will also benefit from the success of the Gaza operations. While Israeli public opinion is still skeptical about a hawkish NEtanyahu, Likud is not expected to get more than 20 seats. In such an eventuality he has agreed to form a national unity government with KAdima. Israel Beitenhu party headed by the extreme right wing Lieberman may win upto 15 seats.
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