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November
9, 2000
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Why
punters don't bet on the CBI
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The
Slippery Hindujas
Proving
that the Hindujas were involved in the Bofors pay-off could be even
harder than providing evidence of the allegations against Alec Stewart.
I suppose
it is possible, given the advances in aviation technology, to travel
from India to the United States without stopping anywhere. But why
on earth would anyone want to do so? My own personal preference
is to stop over in London to break both the monotony and the jet-lag
which is precisely what I did when flying over to watch the
American presidential polls from Ground Zero. (I admit I am an election
buff, and this promised to be one for the record-books; the icing
on the cake was watching American democracy in action on the anniversary
of the Russian revolution).
But,
whatever my own personal interests, does it make a difference to
India whether a president Gore or a President Bush takes the oath
come January? England does not have permanent friends
or enemies, Lord Palmerston explained to disapproving
Tories in the nineteenth century, She has permanent
interests. That is just as true today American
interests, whether strategic or economic, shall dictate the course
of the relationship with India. Party politics really has very little
to do with diplomacy. (It is a lesson, one of many, that the confused
Congress (I) boss would do well to learn.)
This
attitude did not go down well with my British interlocutors. If
the Chinese root for Gore, was the attitude, should not Indians
take some interest too? The general feeling was that India is so
engrossed in her own affairs that she has little time to see what
others are doing. Britain, the unstated implication went, was not
so self-centred.
I did
not argue though I might have pointed out that Indias
problems are so continental in scale that they seem to dwarf all
else. The fact is that my friends were at least half-right; they
were taking an interest in other nations. The presidential polls,
obviously, took centre-stage, but rather to my surprise quite a
few people wanted to discuss India too.
The
focus was on the Central Bureau of Investigation in general, and
two cases specifically: cricket and Bofors. I am not sure, however,
that this was quite as much of an example of British interest in
other countries as some would have me believe. After all, three
British citizens reputations are involved, all three of them
being prominent men.
The
CBI has stated that the former English Test captain Alec Stewart
had met a couple of bookies. I am not sure if this is really sufficient
to smear him. The same problem surfaces again when the agency accuses
S.P. Hinduja and G.P. Hinduja of complicity in the seemingly never-ending
saga of the Bofors pay-off case. Making a charge-sheet is one thing,
but is there enough evidence against them to stand scrutiny in a
court of law?
To
start with cricket, the performance of the English side borders
on the abominable. (Take a look at reports of their match against
South Africa in the ICC knock-out last month, and you will see what
I mean.) But can you blame Stewart for that? If anything, he has
been one of the better performers in the English side, and I do
not mean that as a backhanded compliment.
That
said, there is a fair amount of respect for Indian investigators
these days; everybody remembers the first dramatic days of Cronje-gate
and how the South African captain denied his guilt. That memory
means nobody is willing to come out and be as voluble as they were
back in April. But nobody really believes that Alec Stewart is guilty
of anything other than poor judgement at worst.
The
case against the Hindujas is on a different footing. The CBI has
charge-sheeted them, which indicates that there is some hard proof
of their complicity in the Bofors pay-off. (Or, at any rate, that
the investigators think so; whether or not the judiciary agrees
will be known in a couple of weeks from today around November 20.)
The
Hindujas have tremendous clout, both in India and Britain, with
links extending to politicians in both nations. Prime ministers
have been guests at their receptions, as have various Opposition
members. Does Indias premier investigative agency truly posses
enough proof to nail them?
Those
in the know concede, without any quibbling, that there probably
were still are some links between the Swedish armament
giant and the Hindujas. It might even be possible that money from
Bofors found its way into Swiss accounts operated by some of the
Hinduja clan. But is that enough?
The Hinduja family operates in several nations. It is quite possible,
even probable, that the money paid by Bofors was in connection with
some other deal, in a country other than India. I have heard some
talk that the Hindujas could, if pressed, present a certificate
to this effect. (The document would, I understand, bear the signature
of one of the most respected chartered accountant firms.) They say
that this report is now with the Swiss authorities.
The
Hindujas may spring a surprise when the case is taken up. Quite
frankly, proving that the Hindujas were involved in the Bofors pay-off
could be even harder than providing evidence of the allegations
against Alec Stewart.
The British have reason to be sceptical. A while ago, a section
of the media published some allegations against the Hindujas. The
family promptly challenged this in the courts, and proceeded to
win prompt apologies. I admit that the CBI cannot be brushed away
quite as easily as the English media, but that is irrelevant. The
question is: where is the proof?
There
is no dearth of rumours about cricketers. There is an actual chargesheet
against members of the Hinduja family. But if you ask me the people
who are truly on trial are the investigators in the CBI.
I venture
to predict that the media in London if not in Delhi
will turn on the investigative agency when the day comes to prove
its case in court. The English press has already been burned by
taking on the Hindujas, and is sceptical that the Indian outfit
shall fare any better. It might have been a close race in the United
States, but punters are refusing to put their money on the Central
Bureau of Investigation.
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