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Sharif, Gujral meet -- cussedness?
It is difficult to promise Sharif will listen. He too will be surrounded by
old Cold Warriors from his own foreign office who would continue to remind
him that Kashmir is the core issue, that any other way to treat the disease
is akin to mere aspirin therapy for a disease defying cure for a half
century.
But look at the stakes Sharif has in this summit. He ran, and won, a whole
election campaign without mentioning Kashmir not because he has become a
peacenik. He did it because he knew that if he had to become a real prime
minister he had to defang the army, the power of the Eighth Amendment that
it exercised through the President and he wasn't going to be able to do it
on a politically sustainable basis until Kashmir was taken off the
frontburner. He is not about to give away Pakistan's claims on Kashmir. But
he would prefer if his own extra-parliamentary establishment is denied its
greatest leverage within his country's power structure.
Already the build-up to this summit, the league phase, has been
qualitatively different from any in the past. It is the undoubtedly the
first summit where India has not been isolatedly fighting at least four of
the remaining six (with the customary exception of Bhutan and Maldives)
simultaneously. Slowly, diplomacy in South Asia too is acquiring a strong
trade and economic dimension and the idea of sub-regional groupings, driven
by economics and isolating Pakistan as it has so far refused to play along
with the move towards a common trading zone has already caused consternation
in Islamabad.
The new mood among the Bangladeshi, Nepalese and the Sri Lankan delegations
is a tangible gain from the Gujral Doctrine. It doesn't automatically follow
that the tactics will play out exactly the same way with Pakistan. But when
the subcontinent's first ever Punjabi summiteers meet in its most expensive
and exotic beach resort at Kurumba (coconut) island tomorrow, the topmost
question on their minds will be the same now to sidestep Kashmir without
letting the people back home know and get on with the business.
Copyright © 1997 Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd.
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