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GDP growth in first quarter slips to 7.9 pc

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ENS Economic Bureau Posted: Aug 30, 2008 at 0100 hrs IST
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New Delhi, August 29: Fears of a poor growth performance in this fiscal were confirmed today as GDP growth in the first quarter of the current fiscal hit a three-and-a-half-year low of 7.9 per cent. The growth over the same period (April-June) last year was 9.2 per cent. Finance minister P Chidambaram, however, expressing confidence in the India growth story, said, “I am confident this year too we will be more or less correct in our assessment of yearly growth. Last year I was the only one who maintained that it would be close to 9 per cent and eventually it turned out to be 9.1 per cent. I am confident this year also growth will be close to 8 per cent.”

A higher cost of borrowing resulting out of the several interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of India over the past few months led to a sharp fall in the growth rate of the manufacturing sector, which halved to 5.6 per cent as compared with the 10.9 per cent growth witnessed in the sector in the first quarter of last fiscal.

Agriculture too, which recorded a healthy growth rate of 4.4 per cent in the same period last year, grew by only 3 per cent. The other sectors, which witnessed considerable slowdown in growth, were electricity, gas and water supply, which grew at the rate of 2.6 per cent against the 7.9 per cent growth last year.

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The only sectors, which registered an upswing in growth were community, social and personal services which grew by higher rate of 8.4 per cent, against 5.2 per cent; construction, which grew at a higher rate of 11.4 per cent, as compared with 7.7 per cent; and mining and quarrying, which grew by 4.8 per cent, against 1.7 per cent last year. In absolute terms, India’s GDP stood at Rs 7,82,357 crore in the first quarter of this fiscal, against 7,24,949 crore in the corresponding period of 2007-08.

In the services sector, trade, hotels, transport and communication grew by 11.2 per cent, against 13.1 per cent, while financing, insurance, real estate and business services expanded by 9.3 per cent, against 12.6 per cent. Moody’s economic analysis arm, Moody’s Economy.com, in an official media release, pointed out that the tardy growth in services, which account for more than 50 per cent, was the major cause of the slowdown. “Growth in finance, insurance, real estate and business services slipped into double-digit territory, as global financial market turmoil has taken its toll on the Indian markets,” said the release. Pointing out that manufacturing growth was in line

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